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Open problem, Differential equations and dynamical systems, Geometry, posed 1900

Hilbert's sixteenth problem

OpenHilbert #16Smale #13

The problem has two parts: (1) Determine the possible relative positions of the connected components (ovals) of a nonsingular real algebraic curve of degree nn in RP2\mathbb{R}\mathrm{P}^2 (and of a real algebraic surface in RP3\mathbb{R}\mathrm{P}^3). (2) For a planar polynomial differential system x˙=P(x,y)\dot{x} = P(x,y), y˙=Q(x,y)\dot{y} = Q(x,y) where P,QP, Q are real polynomials of degree at most nn, determine whether there is a finite uniform upper bound H(n)H(n) on the number of limit cycles (isolated periodic trajectories), and describe their possible relative positions.

Research frontier as of 2026

As of 2026 Hilbert's sixteenth problem remains open. In its dynamical second part (also Smale's 13th problem), the individual finiteness question — whether a single polynomial vector field x˙=P(x,y)\dot{x}=P(x,y), y˙=Q(x,y)\dot{y}=Q(x,y) can have infinitely many limit cycles — was settled in the negative by Yulij Ilyashenko (1991) and Jean Écalle (1992), who overcame the 1981 gap in Dulac's 1923 memoir by proving that limit cycles cannot accumulate on a polycycle. However, the uniform bound H(n)H(n) — the supremum of the number of limit cycles over all polynomial systems of degree nn — is not known to be finite for any n≥2n \ge 2. Even for quadratic systems (n=2n=2), where Shi Songling (1980) constructed an example with 4 limit cycles and H(2)=4H(2)=4 is widely conjectured, the Dumortier–Roussarie–Rousseau program reducing H(2)<∞H(2)<\infty to proving finite cyclicity of 121 degenerate graphics in the Poincaré sphere has not been completed. Lower bounds for general nn grow at least like H(n)=Ω(n2log⁡n)H(n) = \Omega(n^2 \log n) (Christopher–Lloyd, 1995). In the real-algebraic first part, isotopic configurations of nonsingular plane curves are fully classified up to degree n≤7n \le 7, while degree 88 and higher remain open.

Best known results

  • Every individual planar polynomial vector field has only finitely many limit cycles (Ilyashenko, 1991; Écalle, 1992).
  • For quadratic systems, H(2)≥4H(2) \ge 4 (Shi Songling, 1980), and for general degree nn, H(n)=Ω(n2log⁡n)H(n) = \Omega(n^2 \log n) (Christopher–Lloyd, 1995), while H(n)<∞H(n) < \infty is unknown for every n≥2n \ge 2.
  • In the first part, oval arrangements of nonsingular real projective plane curves are completely classified up to degree n≤7n \le 7 via Arnold–Rokhlin–Kharlamov congruences and Viro's patchworking (1980).

Tools and where they stop

ToolAchievedWhere it stops
Sectorial normalization and resurgent functions (Ilyashenko, Écalle)Analyzes the Dulac return map near a polycycle using complex-domain asymptotic series and Écalle's resurgent transseries, proving that its fixed points cannot accumulate and thus settling individual finiteness.The non-accumulation argument is qualitative and depends on the individual vector field; it degenerates as parameters approach bifurcation loci and gives no uniform bound H(n)H(n) across the parameter space.
Finite cyclicity and blow-up of degenerate graphics (Dumortier–Roussarie–Rousseau)Compactifies the parameter space of quadratic vector fields (n=2n = 2) and reduces proving H(2)<∞H(2) < \infty to showing that 121 specific limit periodic sets (graphics) each bifurcate into only finitely many limit cycles.Several of the most degenerate graphics among the 121 cases resist iterated blow-ups, and the number of cases explodes combinatorially for degree n≥3n \ge 3.

Open questions

  • Is the Hilbert number H(2)H(2) for planar quadratic vector fields finite, and is it equal to 4?
  • What is the complete classification of isotopic oval arrangements for nonsingular real plane curves of degree n=8n = 8?

References

  1. David Hilbert (1900). Mathematische Probleme
  2. Yulij S. Ilyashenko (1991). Finiteness theorems for limit cycles
  3. Jean Écalle (1992). Introduction aux fonctions analysables et preuve constructive de la conjecture de Dulac
  4. Yulij Ilyashenko (2002). Centennial history of Hilbert's 16th problem · DOI:10.1090/s0273-0979-02-00946-1