Open problem, Analysis, Geometry, posed 1917
Kakeya conjecture
Every Besicovitch (or Kakeya) set —that is, a Borel set containing a unit line segment in every direction —has Hausdorff dimension and Minkowski dimension equal to : .
As of 2026, the Kakeya conjecture is proved for (Davies, 1971) and resolved in a landmark 127-page February 2025 preprint by Hong Wang and Joshua Zahl (`arXiv:2502.17655`) for , proving for every Kakeya set in . Wang and Zahl combined their earlier proof of the sticky Kakeya conjecture (`arXiv:2210.09581`) with multiscale volume estimates for unions of -tubes packed inside convex sets. For all dimensions , both the Hausdorff and Minkowski Kakeya conjectures remain open, as does the stronger Kakeya maximal function conjecture in and higher.
Best known results
- In , every Kakeya set has Hausdorff and Minkowski dimension (Hong Wang and Joshua Zahl, 2025 preprint `arXiv:2502.17655`).
- In , planebrush and polynomial-partitioning methods give (Katz and Zahl, 2021).
- In general dimension , arithmetic Kakeya reductions of Katz and Tao (2002) give .
Tools and where they stop
| Tool | Achieved | Where it stops |
|---|---|---|
| Multiscale tube-packing and sticky Kakeya analysis | Rules out hypothetical lower-dimensional configurations of -tubes in by reducing general tube packings to sticky/convex-grain cases and establishing sharp volume bounds (Wang–Zahl, 2025). | In for , tubes can concentrate inside intermediate-dimensional algebraic subvarieties of dimension , creating much more complex incidence hierarchies. |
| Polynomial method and decoupling (Dvir, Guth, Bourgain–Demeter) | Completely solves the finite-field Kakeya problem in (Dvir, 2009) and proves sharp decoupling inequalities and multilinear Kakeya estimates in . | In Euclidean space, -tubes have thickness and can intersect at small angles in semi-algebraic neighborhoods where polynomial vanishing arguments lose degree efficiency. |
Open questions
- Does every Kakeya set in for have Hausdorff and Minkowski dimension equal to ?
- Can the Wang–Zahl three-dimensional Kakeya theorem be upgraded to the full Kakeya maximal function bound and the full three-dimensional Fourier restriction conjecture?
Proofs
- The planar case: every Kakeya set in has dimension 2 (Davies, 1971)Roy O. Davies (theorem); standard proof exposition after A. Córdoba, 1971Difficulty 3/5ResearchCondensed summary
- The three-dimensional case: every Kakeya set in has dimension 3 (Wang–Zahl, 2025)Hong Wang, Joshua Zahl, 2025Difficulty 5/5ResearchCondensed summary
References
- Hong Wang, Joshua Zahl (2025). Volume estimates for unions of convex sets, and the Kakeya set conjecture in three dimensions · arXiv:2502.17655 [preprint, not peer-reviewed]
- Thomas Wolff (1999). An algorithmic approach to the Kakeya problem · DOI:10.1090/ulect/029/10
- Zeev Dvir (2009). On the size of Kakeya sets in finite fields · DOI:10.1090/S0894-0347-08-00607-3