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Existence of the Lorenz attractor

Solved, 1999Differential equations and dynamical systemsSmale #14
Statement

Consider the classical three-dimensional Lorenz system of ordinary differential equations x˙=σ(y−x)\dot{x} = \sigma(y - x), y˙=ρx−y−xz\dot{y} = \rho x - y - xz, z˙=xy−βz\dot{z} = xy - \beta z on R3\mathbb{R}^3 with the standard parameters σ=10\sigma = 10, β=8/3\beta = 8/3, and ρ=28\rho = 28. Does this flow possess a robust singular-hyperbolic strange attractor whose dynamics are topologically and statistically modeled by the geometric Lorenz attractor (supporting a unique physical Sinai–Ruelle–Bowen measure)?

Solved in the affirmative by Warwick Tucker (announced in Comptes Rendus de l'Académie des Sciences in 1999; full paper published in Foundations of Computational Mathematics in 2002). Because trajectories of the Lorenz system pass arbitrarily close to the saddle equilibrium at the origin (0,0,0)(0,0,0)—where return times diverge—purely numerical integration cannot rule out stable periodic orbits. Tucker combined analytic normal form theory in a small cube around the origin with a rigorous interval-arithmetic ODE solver on a transverse Poincaré section Σ⊂{z=27}\Sigma \subset \{z = 27\} partitioned into small rectangles, proving the existence of a forward-invariant trapping region and a uniformly expanding invariant cone field.

References

  1. Edward N. Lorenz (1963). Deterministic nonperiodic flow · DOI:10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2
  2. Warwick Tucker (1999). The Lorenz attractor exists · DOI:10.1016/S0764-4442(00)88608-6
  3. Warwick Tucker (2002). A rigorous ODE solver and Smale's 14th problem · DOI:10.1007/s002080010018